North Dakota St.
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
806  Elliott Stone JR 33:23
913  Brant Gilbertson SR 33:31
1,094  Tim Heikkila FR 33:46
1,210  Derek Warner JR 33:56
1,410  Alex Bartholomay FR 34:11
1,608  Connor Schank SO 34:28
1,626  Evan Kottsick SO 34:30
1,849  Reid Hawkins SR 34:52
2,281  Isaac Berg FR 35:45
National Rank #176 of 315
Midwest Region Rank #23 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 53.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elliott Stone Brant Gilbertson Tim Heikkila Derek Warner Alex Bartholomay Connor Schank Evan Kottsick Reid Hawkins Isaac Berg
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 1182 33:15 33:56 36:43 33:58 34:42 35:01 37:22 33:55 35:28
SDSU Classic 09/29 1213 33:53 34:10 34:23 34:57 34:04 36:18
Summit League Championship 10/28 1153 33:25 33:27 33:28 33:40 34:03 34:07 34:39 36:02 35:41
Midwest Region Championships 11/10 1146 33:38 33:21 33:04 34:50 33:54 34:33 34:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 19.8 528 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.8 5.1 7.7 9.0 11.6 13.6 15.7 18.4 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.3



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elliott Stone 79.0
Brant Gilbertson 87.7
Tim Heikkila 102.8
Derek Warner 114.9
Alex Bartholomay 133.1
Connor Schank 151.8
Evan Kottsick 154.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.9% 0.9 12
13 1.3% 1.3 13
14 1.9% 1.9 14
15 2.8% 2.8 15
16 5.1% 5.1 16
17 7.7% 7.7 17
18 9.0% 9.0 18
19 11.6% 11.6 19
20 13.6% 13.6 20
21 15.7% 15.7 21
22 18.4% 18.4 22
23 7.8% 7.8 23
24 3.2% 3.2 24
25 1.0% 1.0 25
26 0.3% 0.3 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0